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EQUITIES Magazine Established in 1951

The EQUITIES Hedge Fund Index:
Hedge Fund Commentary

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The EQUITIES Hedge Fund Index posted another good return in September, advancing +3.81% for the month.

Liquidity returned to the markets, helped by the Fed’s rate cut, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 both made impressive gains to reach alltime highs. Overall, hedge fund performance for the month was comparable to that of the stock market, while for the year-to-date, hedge funds as a group have outperformed the stock markets with lower volatility. The majority of hedge funds in the EQUITIES Hedge Fund Index reported strong positive returns for the month. Long/short equity and global macro managers particularly contributed to the good numbers, while some arbitrage strategies, although positive, underperformed due to continuing difficulties in the fixed income and credit markets.

Global Macro managers have posted excellent returns for September and for the year-to-date, as Asian markets continued to demonstrate outstanding performance. As of month-end, China’s markets were up over 100% for the year. Managers continued to profit from short dollar positions as the U.S. currency’s decline persisted, reaching an all-time low against the euro and enduring more losses against countries with strong commodity components to their economies. Long commodity positions generated significant gains for macro managers as commodities continued their advance to record highs, partially fueled by the dollar’s weakness. Gold surged 11% for the month, and oil passed $83 per barrel.

Long/short equity funds continued their good performance, gathering profits not only from the returns of the markets, but from stock selection on both long and short positions. Technology stocks have been excellent holdings for funds as earnings estimates have been revised upwards and overseas revenues have been boosted by the declining dollar. In fact, companies with large international operations have been a major driver of the markets this year. Banks and other financials are not in such good shape. The credit crisis and mortgage problems have severely hurt both commercial banks and brokerages. Hedge fund managers benefitted from short positions in the financial sector.

Among other hedge fund trading styles, distressed managers profited as bond prices moved up to 200 basis points higher following the Fed’s rate cut; however, credit strategies have still not fully recovered from their losses during the summer. Fixed income arbitrage managers have shown a wide spread of performance recently, with individual returns being sensitive to each manager’s ability to exploit the recent credit turmoil. Most arbitrage managers were profitable in September. Convertible managers also had a good month and recovered much of their earlier losses, and are now ahead 3-4% for the year. New issuance for 2007 is already ahead of 2006’s total. Merger arbitrage managers performed well, as several profitable high-profile deals closed during the month.

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